Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.045214 0.049207 0.053255 0.057658 0.062306 0.067059 0.072282
2025-01-26 0.038313 0.044108 0.050200 0.057058 0.064534 0.072414 0.081321
2025-02-02 0.033522 0.040617 0.048325 0.057261 0.067275 0.078093 0.090604
2025-02-09 0.030250 0.038388 0.047493 0.058322 0.070743 0.084440 0.100578
2025-02-16 0.028356 0.037480 0.047949 0.060676 0.075558 0.092245 0.112205
2025-02-23 0.024377 0.033751 0.044818 0.058600 0.075054 0.093835 0.116653
2025-03-02 0.021690 0.031344 0.043041 0.057922 0.076014 0.096982 0.122797
2025-03-09 0.019498 0.029364 0.041616 0.057515 0.077171 0.100267 0.129040
2025-03-16 0.018644 0.029021 0.042161 0.059479 0.081164 0.106911 0.139274
2025-03-23 0.017521 0.028221 0.042047 0.060555 0.084027 0.112184 0.147885
2025-03-30 0.016399 0.027333 0.041743 0.061329 0.086472 0.116931 0.155869
2025-04-06 0.014918 0.025834 0.040539 0.060858 0.087287 0.119640 0.161356
2025-04-13 0.014006 0.025113 0.040370 0.061763 0.089911 0.124679 0.169841
2025-04-20 0.012694 0.023712 0.039198 0.061279 0.090712 0.127435 0.175532
2025-04-27 0.011750 0.022791 0.038637 0.061570 0.092490 0.131411 0.182751
2025-05-04 0.011155 0.022359 0.038730 0.062726 0.095393 0.136816 0.191780
2025-05-11 0.010998 0.022603 0.039790 0.065223 0.100093 0.144547 0.203792
2025-05-18 0.009556 0.020662 0.037565 0.063052 0.098486 0.144135 0.205480
2025-05-25 0.008630 0.019497 0.036422 0.062344 0.098799 0.146166 0.210251
2025-06-01 0.007854 0.018521 0.035511 0.061920 0.099461 0.148628 0.215564
2025-06-08 0.007717 0.018659 0.036312 0.063988 0.103568 0.155638 0.226772
2025-06-15 0.007377 0.018405 0.036483 0.065120 0.106380 0.160953 0.235820
2025-06-22 0.006991 0.018036 0.036448 0.065933 0.108743 0.165681 0.244130